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Sean Johnson's avatar

What is interesting to me is that deductive logic, inductive logic, and abductive logic all converge to point toward an extended vacancy:

Deductive logic does it through the syllogism (i.e., Major: Public heretics are not members of the Catholic Church. Minor: But Francis is a public heretic. Conclusion: Therefore Francis is not a member of the Catholic Church);

Inductive logic does it through the accumulation of particular indications or pieces of evidence that point toward a conclusion with such a high probability of likelihood that to ignore or discard that conclusion becomes unreasonable. So for example, public heresy, evil rites, dubious canonizations, conclave irregularities, etc., etc. Add another 25-50 more, and the conclusion that these claimants are illegitimate becomes rather easy to sustain.

Abductive logic does it by observing a particular fact, and inferring the most likely explanation (e.g., the lawn is wet. It must have rained last might. Or more to our point, keeping in mind that ALL classical theologians of note considered it obvious that a true pope could not be a public heretic: Leo XIV rejects the death penalty. He must not be a true pope. Etc., etc.

Although it is true that only deductive logic yields infallible certainty (presuming the premises are correct!), whereas inductive and abductive deal in high probabilities, the fact that all three can be utilized in forming convincing arguments regarding a papal vacancy rather tends to amplify the persuasiveness of all three methods.

Of course, disposition is always the primary obex to the reception of truth. So long as a man thinks that if he assents to a particular proposition, he is endangering his faith, because he cannot understand, for example, how admitting an extended vacancy leaves visibility, apostolicity, indefectibility, etc. intact, then he will feel compelled a priori to reject that conclusion until such time as he has acquired the doctrinal understanding to conquer his misplaced fears, allowing him to see that in fact there are persuasive and satisfying arguments which will replace his fear with confidence in admitting that conclusion.

Helping souls overcome those fears is, as I see it, precisely the WM Review vocation (and you're doing a superlative job accomplishing it). Thank you for what you do.

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